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Local Market Update – August 2023
The dog days of summer are upon us, and along with stifling heat comes a sluggish market. High interest rates and a dearth of available inventory are driving prices up and slowing sales across the region.
One major contributor to the low supply of homes is the phenomenon of homeowners protecting their sweet pandemic-era mortgage rates of 3-4%. Rather than selling and having to manage interest rates that are currently in 7% range, they are choosing to stay put. This means homes that otherwise might have been on the market this time of year are also staying put, and would-be buyers are competing for very limited inventory.
According to Windermere Chief Economist Matthew Gardner, July’s active listings in the tri-county market were fewer than in any July on record, excepting the pandemic year of July, 2021.
Gardner also noted that “With mortgage rates unlikely to move tangibly lower during the balance of the summer, I don’t expect the market to move much over the coming months, both in terms of sales and prices.” But he did add that “If the economy starts to soften this fall, rates could start to fall and this could revitalize the market.”
The key now seems to be accurately pricing the listings that are available. While there’s limited inventory, mortgage rates are putting a damper on buying power. Buyers may already be forced to compromise on lifestyle and location for mid-tier properties. They won’t want to compromise on price as well.
In King County, the median sold price for a single-family home was $897,500 in July, up from $890,000 in July, 2022. Condos also saw a boost, landing at a median of $510,000 last month—up from $490,000 a year ago. This is likely due to high demand and strong competition from buyers in the area.
In Seattle, the necessity of pricing homes accurately is clear. As an example, 69% of Seattle single family homes sold in under 15 days in July, and these generated sold prices that were 100.1% of their list price. Those that took longer than two weeks to sell, however, closed at 97.5% of list price.
Seattle sold prices softened a bit in July. The median price for a single-family home in the city was $899,950, down from $954,500 a year ago. On the other hand, condo prices rose to $550,000 last month, up from $537,000 a year ago.
Low inventory on the Eastside had the effect of pushing up home prices in July, when the median sold price of a single-family home was $1,500,000. That’s an increase from $1,420,000 in July 2022. It’s also the first month since September of last year that Eastside median prices have increased from the year prior, so the mid-summer market has shown some heat. Eastside condo prices also increased last month, with a median sold price of $600,000, up from $575,000 a year ago.
Snohomish County saw prices soften slightly last month. The median sold price for a single-family home dropped from $770,000 last July to $751,250 this July. Even with less than one month’s inventory, interest rates are slowing sales and causing prices to drop. Condo prices also dipped slightly, from $500,000 in July 2022 to $495,000 last month. The county’s condo market had only .7 months of inventory, but this supply squeeze couldn’t completely counter high interest rates when it came to the impact on sold prices.
Looking ahead, it’s clear that now more than ever, sellers and buyers need to tether their real estate interests to a knowledgeable broker who will help them navigate these fluctuating market dynamics. If you have questions about what current market conditions mean for you, reach out to your Windermere broker.
EASTSIDE
KING COUNTY
SEATTLE
SNOHOMISH COUNTY
VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT
This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.
Local Market Update – July 2023
This summer’s local housing market is seeing low inventory feed higher prices, putting the squeeze on would-be buyers. June is typically the month where home prices reach their apex, and last month was no exception as King and Snohomish counties’ prices neared the peaks seen during the sugar high of the pandemic market.
Approximately 80% of recent transactions have been in the more affordable and mid-price ranges, which are nearly sold-out at the moment. Because of this, multiple offers and offers over list price were more prevalent in June’s closed home sales than at any other point this year.
Windermere’s Chief Economist Matthew Gardner addressed the inventory shortfall. “The number of homes for sale in the Central Puget Sound area in June was down 48% from the same month in 2019 (pre-pandemic),” he said. “I believe much of the reason for this is that almost 33% of in-state homeowners have mortgage rates at or below 3%, and 87% of owners have rates below 5%. There is little incentive to list your home for sale if you don’t have to.”
In King County, the median sold price for a single-family home landed at $935,000 in June. This is just a notch below the median price of $938,225 in June 2022. The scarce inventory has caused buyers to compete more aggressively and sellers to list higher, thus leading to comparable peaks as the pandemic market in summer 2022. Likewise, condos were up from $525,000 June 2022 to a median of $529,975 last month.
In Seattle, June’s median sold price for a single-family home was $930,000, down 7% from June 2022. Condo prices in the city were up year-over-year, with a median price of $550,000—an increase from $538,700 last June. This jump could be due in part to rising residential prices pushing some buyers into the more affordable condo market.
The Eastside, meanwhile, is seeing sales activity slow because of extremely limited supply. The level of new inventory coming onto the market is just 44% of the 10-year average. As a result, median prices have held strong. In June, the median sold price for an Eastside single-family home was $1,450,000, barely off last June’s mark of $1,500,000.
In Snohomish County, the median price for a single-family home last month was $774,975, down from $799,950 in June 2022. Condos actually saw a year-over-year price increase, from $500,000 last June to a median of $506,000 last month. The strength of Snohomish County condo prices is likely tethered to low inventory—there is just over a two week-supply of condo units in the area.
Economist Matthew Gardner notes that “Sale prices in King and Snohomish counties rose for the fifth consecutive month and are only modestly lower than a year ago. It will be interesting to see if this trend can continue given the stubbornly high mortgage rates.”
Despite the high interest rates and scant supply, buyers who are educated on the market and working with a trusted broker should be able to navigate these changing market conditions. For more information on how you can make the most of your real estate endeavors, reach out to your Windermere broker.
EASTSIDE
KING COUNTY
SEATTLE
SNOHOMISH COUNTY
VIEW FULL SNOHOMISH COUNTY REPORT
This post originally appeared on GetTheWReport.com.
